1X2 win probability
Modelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Premier League · Probability table
Premier League predictions, read through the data.
The Premier League's 20-club weekend rhythm rewards squads that convert territorial control into shots on target — which is exactly what an expected-goals model is built to separate from noise. Sezi reads current form, home advantage and underlying attacking output for every fixture, not just the last result.
Each match gets a full 1X2 read — home, draw and away probability — built from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals. No tips, no guaranteed winners: a calibrated probability and the numbers behind it.
Upcoming Premier League fixtures
- Sat 12 Sept, 14:00
Bournemouth·
BrentfordHome46%Draw23%Away31% - Sat 12 Sept, 14:00
Aston Villa·
Nott'm ForestHome57%Draw20%Away23% - Sat 12 Sept, 14:00
Chelsea·
HullHome62%Draw21%Away17% - Sat 12 Sept, 14:00
Crystal Palace·
IpswichHome64%Draw21%Away15% - Sat 12 Sept, 14:00
Liverpool·
FulhamHome65%Draw18%Away17% - Sat 12 Sept, 16:30
Tottenham·
EvertonHome38%Draw24%Away38% - Sat 12 Sept, 19:00
Sunderland·
ArsenalHome14%Draw17%Away69% - Sun 13 Sept, 13:00
Coventry City·
BrightonHome30%Draw22%Away48% - Sun 13 Sept, 15:30
Man Utd·
Man CityHome23%Draw22%Away55% - Mon 14 Sept, 19:00
Leeds·
NewcastleHome35%Draw25%Away40%
Recent results
- Arsenal2–1Chelsea
- Everton2–2Man Utd
- Hull0–0Aston Villa
- Nott'm Forest0–0Tottenham
- Man City1–0Coventry City
What every prediction includes
Expected goals (xG)
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Score & goals markets
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Model confidence
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.
Premier League predictions — frequently asked questions.
Are Premier League predictions free?
Yes. Every Premier League fixture's probability table is free to read, no account required.
How does Sezi model Premier League matches?
Sezi combines team form, expected goals (xG) and a Poisson-based score distribution, then runs Monte Carlo simulation to produce a calibrated 1X2, both-teams-to-score and over/under read for each fixture.
Does Sezi predict a winner with certainty?
No. Sezi shows probabilities and the data behind them — a probability reading, not a certainty. The goal is calibration: when the model says 70%, that outcome should land close to 70% of the time.