1X2 win probability
Modelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Serie A · Probability table
Serie A predictions, read through the data.
Serie A rewards defensive organization as much as attacking talent, which makes low-scoring, tightly-matched fixtures common — exactly the kind of game where a raw form guess misleads and a probability distribution earns its keep. Sezi models each team's attacking and defensive output separately before combining them into a match forecast.
Every fixture carries a full 1X2 probability table — home, draw, away — from a Poisson-based score model plus Monte Carlo simulation, alongside both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals reads. Calibration is the only metric that matters here: when the model says 60%, that outcome should land close to 60% of the time.
Upcoming Serie A fixtures
- Fri 11 Sept, 18:45
Venezia·
FiorentinaHome28%Draw21%Away51% - Sat 12 Sept, 13:00
Genoa·
FrosinoneHome50%Draw27%Away23% - Sat 12 Sept, 16:00
Lazio·
MilanHome33%Draw29%Away38% - Sat 12 Sept, 18:45
Atalanta·
CagliariHome73%Draw16%Away11% - Sun 13 Sept, 13:00
Lecce·
MonzaHome49%Draw26%Away25% - Sun 13 Sept, 16:00
Napoli·
BolognaHome64%Draw19%Away16% - Sun 13 Sept, 18:45
Sassuolo·
JuventusHome18%Draw21%Away61% - Mon 14 Sept, 16:30
Como·
ParmaHome65%Draw18%Away17% - Mon 14 Sept, 16:30
Torino·
RomaHome25%Draw25%Away50% - Mon 14 Sept, 18:45
Inter·
UdineseHome77%Draw14%Away9%
Recent results
- Udinese1–2Lazio
- Cagliari1–0Lecce
- Juventus1–1Milan
- Bologna2–2Sassuolo
- Parma1–1Monza
What every prediction includes
Expected goals (xG)
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Score & goals markets
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Model confidence
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.
Serie A predictions — frequently asked questions.
Are Serie A predictions free?
Yes. Every Serie A fixture's probability table is free to read, no account required.
How does Sezi model Serie A matches?
Sezi combines team form, expected goals (xG) and a Poisson-based score distribution, then runs Monte Carlo simulation to produce a calibrated 1X2, both-teams-to-score and over/under read for each fixture.
Does Sezi predict a winner with certainty?
No. Sezi shows probabilities and the data behind them — a probability reading, not a certainty. The goal is calibration: when the model says 70%, that outcome should land close to 70% of the time.